Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.017012 0.018940 0.020879 0.022970 0.025155 0.027368 0.029771
2025-04-06 0.012932 0.015897 0.019009 0.022491 0.026249 0.030162 0.034521
2025-04-13 0.010035 0.013441 0.017146 0.021408 0.026117 0.031113 0.036769
2025-04-20 0.008729 0.012546 0.016815 0.021828 0.027460 0.033513 0.040440
2025-04-27 0.007245 0.011275 0.015920 0.021495 0.027858 0.034783 0.042787
2025-05-04 0.005903 0.010030 0.014945 0.020971 0.027958 0.035650 0.044621
2025-05-11 0.005128 0.009405 0.014639 0.021165 0.028824 0.037327 0.047311
2025-05-18 0.004293 0.008617 0.014072 0.021001 0.029234 0.038456 0.049355
2025-05-25 0.003424 0.007687 0.013264 0.020494 0.029202 0.039046 0.050760
2025-06-01 0.002759 0.006963 0.012665 0.020200 0.029386 0.039855 0.052386
2025-06-08 0.002148 0.006234 0.012009 0.019797 0.029408 0.040452 0.053749
2025-06-15 0.001776 0.005830 0.011756 0.019875 0.029990 0.041681 0.055818
2025-06-22 0.001264 0.005146 0.011143 0.019559 0.030186 0.042576 0.057650
2025-06-29 0.000793 0.004415 0.010424 0.019097 0.030217 0.043305 0.059330
2025-07-06 0.000353 0.003512 0.009351 0.018098 0.029531 0.043142 0.059937
2025-07-13 0.000229 0.003306 0.009321 0.018486 0.030567 0.045018 0.062909
2025-07-20 0.000077 0.002827 0.008805 0.018178 0.030701 0.045797 0.064581
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.002328 0.008191 0.017695 0.030586 0.046256 0.065862
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002117 0.008053 0.017874 0.031312 0.047727 0.068327
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001810 0.007701 0.017723 0.031596 0.048648 0.070131
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001436 0.007155 0.017255 0.031445 0.049021 0.071273
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001160 0.006758 0.016985 0.031538 0.049682 0.072747
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000892 0.006311 0.016613 0.031479 0.050144 0.073973